First National
Friday, October 18, 2013
Seller Enthusiasm in property market
Take some time to check out this 2 min video that summarises rising seller enthuasiam in Melbourne! Enjoy!
Check it out here
Friday, October 11, 2013
Featured Ideas
Country-inspired? Gives me this warm fuzzy feeling, how comforting. soft & warm colours |
So homey.. loving the olive green feature wall! |
Do you get that sense of tranquility or is it just me?? |
Something about me and wood.. so Balinese! |
Now this is just stunning!! |
Amazing how nature and greenery adds extra beauty |
For more, check out this link
SYD: Don't believe crazy boom theory
WHAT'S DRIVING ECONOMY?
- Low
interest rates - Rising confidence
- A surge in investor activity are the current drivers of the Sydney housing market together with a solid performance by the local economy - is about as close to a boom next year
WHAT'S SLOWING ECONOMY?
- Sydney’s unemployment rate is now rising towards 6 per cent and predicted to
continue to rise. - Wages and profit growth remain subdued in a low inflation economy with a stagnant stockmarket continuing to constrain growth in the prestige market.
- The prospect of sharply falling rental yields will also prove a disincentive for new investors.
- Prices growth in Sydney is likely to peak over the next six months, with continued solid growth dependent on a sustained revival in the economy and unemployment falling to or below 5 per cent.
"There are a lot of reasons that prices will be kept in check" says Australian Property Monitor’s Andrew Wilson.
To find out more, click here
Friday, October 4, 2013
How to spot a housing bubble??
The recent strong growth in the housing market, coupled with
record-low interest rates, has raised fears about a real estate price
bubble. House prices are at their highest in three years. Mortgage lending is picking up. There has been increased demand from investors!!
Last week, the Reserve Bank hosed down fears of a housing price bubble
as "unrealistically alarmist", with its assistant governor Malcolm Edey
saying prices were rising in line with incomes over the past decade.
But what constitutes a housing bubble? How do we know if we are
approaching one, or already in one? Can a bubble only be identified in
hindsight?
Previous housing price bubbles ... housing prices in Ireland prices more than tripled, while in the US, they rose by 70 per cent. |
There's no definitive checklist, but here is a list of
factors analysts say are central to determining whether a bubble is
forming.
1. Property prices
Australia's housing market ... growing in popularity as an investment vehicle |
A sharp rise in housing prices is one of the first indicators.
Figures show that the capital city house prices rose 4 per cent in the
three months to August, the largest growth since April 2010.
The forecasts for housing price growth is more bullish.
For
Sydney, home prices are projected to soar by 15 to 20 per cent next
year, and that's after growth of 9 to 12 per cent this year, data firm
SQM Research said last week.
As a comparison, the European Central Bank estimated at between 1995 to 2005, homes prices in Ireland more than tripled
while in the US they soared by 70 per cent. The prices then sank by
more than 30 per cent when the financial crisis hit. With the benefit of
hindsight, such steep price rises can be see as signs of a bubble about
to bust.
House prices in Australia are considered to be expensive,
experts agree. In a housing bubble, they also have to be seen as
unsustainable.
At this stage, analysts say Australia's above-average
population growth, an actual excess of demand over supply - and only a
gradual lift in construction, coupled with low vacancy rates and rising
rents, are legitimate factors feeding the strong rises.
2. Credit growth
Strong credit growth has been cited as a key factor in
fuelling a housing bubble that would eventually burst. It can be driven
by low interest rates and loose lending standards, which could then lead
to mortgage borrowers being over leveraged.
Higher debt = higher leverage = sudden change in the wider economy such as a rise in unemployment could see these
mortgage holders struggle to repay their debt = higher risk
Australia's cash rate is at 2.5 per cent in attempt to boost economy by growing the housing market as the economy
rebalances away from mining-led growth.- a 60-year-low.
Credit
growth has lifted off its historic lows from earlier this year, but
remain very soft relative to previous years. Housing credit growth lifted by 4.7 per cent in the 12 months
to August. Part of the reason why credit growth is growing at a slower
pace is that about half of households, according to anecdotal evidence,
are not reducing their regular mortgage payments as interest rates
fallen, the RBA said.
However, this slow growth should be viewed together with
Australia's high household debt-to-income ratio, which the RBA has
warned about. It is at 147.3 per cent, lower than the record-level of
153 per cent which it reached before the financial crisis, according to
data from the central bank.
3. Lending standards
Closely linked to a strong rise in credit growth are banks'
lending standards. As we noted earlier, the availability of easy credit
to US homebuyers who usually wouldn't be granted loans fuelled a housing
boom that was ultimately unsustainable.
Looser lending standards are also expected to spark strong
growth in the volume and turnover of property, meaning that more people
are buying and selling homes to make a profit. Volume growth remains light in Australia.
Housing turnover has lifted from low levels, the RBA noted in
its September board meeting minutes. But they remain relatively low
compared to the previous decade.
However, the modest growth in credit poses a difficulty for
mortgage lenders, and could entice them to loosen lending standards to
draw in more clients. RBA warns to "maintain prudent risk appetite and lending practices, especially in
the current low interest rate environment".
4. Speculation
One sector of the housing market that has attracted the
attention of the RBA is the growth in the number of investor-owners. The
RBA has warned such investors not to expect the same strong growth in
house prices that Australia experienced in the 1990s and early 2000s.
The analysts warned that Australian banks have more investment property in New Zealand and the UK - 32 per cent compared to 20 per cent and 12 per cent respectively.
The analysts warned that Australian banks have more investment property in New Zealand and the UK - 32 per cent compared to 20 per cent and 12 per cent respectively.
"significant growth in negatively geared investment property over the
last 20 years should be of concern"
Australia's large exposure to a very highly
leveraged landlord population is a significant systemic risk. ... We do
not believe that these implications have been fully considered by the
banks, regulators or market participants.
The RBA has also been keeping a close eye on the self-managed
superannuation fund (SMSF) sector, which it warned "represents a
vehicle for potentially speculative demand for property that did not
exist in the past".
The sector has increased its property holdings, after
legislative changes allowed super funds including SMSFs to borrow to
invest in assets such as property.
Further reading:
- European Central Bank: Asset price bubbles: how they build up and how to prevent them?
- RBA: How should central banks respond to asset-price bubbles?
High-rise rush threatening city's liveability
A high-rise housing ''gold rush'' is eroding Melbourne's edge as a liveable city, with an extra 39,000 apartments planned for the next three years!!
Uncontrolled housing growth would be a blow to Melbourne's reputation as an attractive city in which to live and work -- More than 22,000 inner-city units were constructed between 2010 and 2012, and another 39,000 have been released for
The city is heading towards becoming a dormitory rather than a centre for knowledge-intensive industries = UNSUSTAINABLE (research by Monash Uni)
Looking high and low for a good investment
DECISIONS DECISIONS DECISIONS!!!
Choosing the right floor in a high-rise apartment is crucial - determines how much you pay and future cash flows. Research is a must but your due diligence is waaaaayy more important when you sign a contract with a developer before it is even built!
- Lower floor - could be easier to get a respectable rate of return
- Higher floor - could get premium returns but risk when there are larger projects and the view from an apartment can be fundamentally the same on the 12th and 30th floors. You might miss out on the cachet of being on the top floor, but you'll pay a lot less on the 12th.
The off-the-plan market relies on the perception you can pay today's prices for an apartment that will be worth more when it is finished - the theory is that the market will have moved up a gear by then.
That can be the case, but there have been situations in which unit owners have lost views because another building has gone up next door. Such an eventuality can pull down values even before you get the keys.
It is vital to talk to the relevant council, not just the developer, before buying off the plan.
Open plan dining area ideas!!
So much character without being messy! Magnificent! |
Contemporary and modern - almost like a story book |
Very elegant. |
Very chic!! |
Country inspried kitchen - LOVE IT - homey and bursting with personality |
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